Tuddy Buddy Football

Tuddy Board

The Tuddy Buddy app ranks every eligible QB, RB, WR and TE by touchdown probability.

Week 1 · Sep 10 – Sep 14, 2026

Showing 439 of 439
0
Derrick Henry
RB1Healthy

DerrickHenry

54%TD Prob
RB · Baltimore
BAL logoBAL@IND logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore81
Consensus-188
Edge+1.5pp
Prime Tuddy Spot52% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 2.28 expected inside-10 opportunities (1.48 inside the 5)
  • Rushing volume: 59% of the team's expected carries
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Jahmyr Gibbs
RB1Healthy

JahmyrGibbs

51%TD Prob
RB · Detroit
DET logoDETVSNO logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore72
Consensus-292
Edge-7.3pp
Strong58% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 97
  • Defensive matchup: NO allow only 0.88x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
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Chase Brown
RB1Healthy

ChaseBrown

51%TD Prob
RB · Cincinnati
CIN logoCINVSTB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore82
Consensus-125
Edge+9.2pp
Prime Tuddy Spot42% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.55 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.77 inside the 5)
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 94
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.25x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.89x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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Jonathan Taylor
RB1Healthy

JonathanTaylor

50%TD Prob
RB · Indianapolis
IND logoINDVSBAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore74
Consensus-192
Edge-2.6pp
Strong53% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 2.04 expected inside-10 opportunities (1.16 inside the 5)
  • Rushing volume: 68% of the team's expected carries
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: BAL allow only 0.86x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
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Javonte Williams
RB1Healthy

JavonteWilliams

50%TD Prob
RB · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore78
Consensus-151
Edge+5.1pp
Strong45% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.83 expected inside-10 opportunities (1.07 inside the 5)
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • Rushing volume: 49% of the team's expected carries
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Chris Olave
WR1Healthy

ChrisOlave

44%TD Prob
WR · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore75
Consensus+153
Edge+12.9pp
Strong31% no-vig
  • End-zone targets: 0.81 expected end-zone targets
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Passing volume: 27% of the team's expected targets
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.14 expected inside-10 opportunities
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D'Andre Swift
RB1Healthy

D'AndreSwift

43%TD Prob
RB · Chicago
CHI logoCHI@CAR logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore66
Consensus-127
Edge-1.1pp
Live45% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.49 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.86 inside the 5)
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Rushing volume: 45% of the team's expected carries
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Davante Adams
WR2Healthy

DavanteAdams

43%TD Prob
WR · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore69
Consensus+111
Edge+4.8pp
Live39% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • End-zone targets: 1.06 expected end-zone targets
  • Defensive matchup: SF allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Tee Higgins
WR2Healthy

TeeHiggins

43%TD Prob
WR · Cincinnati
CIN logoCINVSTB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore71
Consensus+123
Edge+9.2pp
Strong33% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 94
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 27.0 points
  • Defensive matchup: TB allow only 0.87x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
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James Cook
RB1Healthy

JamesCook

42%TD Prob
RB · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore67
Consensus+106
Edge+3.5pp
Live39% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.12 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.65 inside the 5)
  • Rushing volume: 49% of the team's expected carries
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.17x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Saquon Barkley
RB1Healthy

SaquonBarkley

42%TD Prob
RB · Philadelphia
PHI logoPHIVSWAS logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore65
Consensus-125
Edge-0.9pp
Live43% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.73 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.90 inside the 5)
  • Rushing volume: 53% of the team's expected carries
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.86x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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Bijan Robinson
RB1Healthy

BijanRobinson

41%TD Prob
RB · Atlanta
ATL logoATL@PIT logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore62
Consensus-122
Edge-4.1pp
Live46% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.27 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.64 inside the 5)
  • Rushing volume: 61% of the team's expected carries
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 34% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 3)
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Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR1Healthy

Amon-RaSt. Brown

41%TD Prob
WR · Detroit
DET logoDETVSNO logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore63
Consensus-112
Edge-0.3pp
Live41% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 97
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.27x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.3 points
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Kyren Williams
RB1Healthy

KyrenWilliams

41%TD Prob
RB · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore61
Consensus-123
Edge-3.4pp
Live44% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.41 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.76 inside the 5)
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.23x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Christian McCaffrey
RB1Healthy

ChristianMcCaffrey

41%TD Prob
RB · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore59
Consensus-155
Edge-7.8pp
Neutral49% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.56 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.65 inside the 5)
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.24x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Rushing volume: 53% of the team's expected carries
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.84x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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Rashee Rice
WR1Healthy

RasheeRice

41%TD Prob
WR · Kansas City
KC logoKCVSDEN logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore69
Consensus+170
Edge+10.7pp
Live30% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 2.01 expected inside-10 opportunities
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.19x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • End-zone targets: 0.94 expected end-zone targets
  • Defensive matchup: DEN allow only 0.80x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
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Kenny Gainwell
RB2Healthy

KennyGainwell

40%TD Prob
RB · Tampa Bay
TB logoTB@CIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore71
Consensus+190
Edge+14.3pp
Strong26% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.02 expected inside-10 opportunities
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 28% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Defensive matchup: CIN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR1Healthy

JaxonSmith-Njigba

40%TD Prob
WR · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore64
Consensus+120
Edge+2.9pp
Live37% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.26x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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DK Metcalf
WR1Healthy

DKMetcalf

40%TD Prob
WR · Pittsburgh
PIT logoPITVSATL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore69
Consensus+185
Edge+10.9pp
Live29% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: ATL allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • End-zone targets: 0.77 expected end-zone targets
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Trey McBride
TE1Healthy

TreyMcBride

40%TD Prob
TE · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore69
Consensus+186
Edge+12.1pp
Live27% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: LAC allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • End-zone targets: 0.66 expected end-zone targets
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 13)
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MarShawn Lloyd
RB1Healthy

MarShawnLloyd

39%TD Prob
RB · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore64
Consensus+124
Edge+4.3pp
Live35% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.31 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.69 inside the 5)
  • Rushing volume: 47% of the team's expected carries
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 27% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Omarion Hampton
RB1Healthy

OmarionHampton

39%TD Prob
RB · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore55
Consensus-155
Edge-9.6pp
Neutral49% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.66 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.85 inside the 5)
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.90x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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Jacory Croskey-Merritt
RB1Healthy

JacoryCroskey-Merritt

38%TD Prob
RB · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore64
Consensus+158
Edge+8.2pp
Live30% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.37 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.81 inside the 5)
  • Defensive matchup: PHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Colby Parkinson
TE1Healthy

ColbyParkinson

38%TD Prob
TE · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore67
Consensus+380
Edge+20.7pp
Live17% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Defensive matchup: SF allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Jaylen Warren
RB1Healthy

JaylenWarren

38%TD Prob
RB · Pittsburgh
PIT logoPITVSATL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore59
Consensus+120
Edge-0.6pp
Neutral38% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.57 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.84 inside the 5)
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.18x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Rushing volume: 46% of the team's expected carries
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.85x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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RJ Harvey
RB2Healthy

RJHarvey

37%TD Prob
RB · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore67
Consensus+350
Edge+19.5pp
Live18% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Goal-line role: 1.27 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.61 inside the 5)
  • Defensive matchup: KC allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 21)
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Cam Skattebo
RB1Healthy

CamSkattebo

37%TD Prob
RB · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore59
Consensus+103
Edge+1.0pp
Neutral36% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.16 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.73 inside the 5)
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.17x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% fewer rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
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Chris Rodriguez Jr.
RB2Healthy

ChrisRodriguez Jr.

37%TD Prob
RB · Jacksonville
JAX logoJAXVSCLE logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore63
Consensus+165
Edge+7.8pp
Live30% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.24 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.76 inside the 5)
  • Defensive matchup: CLE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Rushing volume: 38% of the team's expected carries
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Tetairoa McMillan
WR1Healthy

TetairoaMcMillan

37%TD Prob
WR · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore63
Consensus+172
Edge+8.1pp
Live29% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • End-zone targets: 0.68 expected end-zone targets
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Colston Loveland
TE1Healthy

ColstonLoveland

37%TD Prob
TE · Chicago
CHI logoCHI@CAR logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore63
Consensus+164
Edge+7.6pp
Live30% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.19x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Kyle Monangai
RB2Healthy

KyleMonangai

37%TD Prob
RB · Chicago
CHI logoCHI@CAR logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore65
Consensus+215
Edge+11.8pp
Live25% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.43 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.78 inside the 5)
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.3 points
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.83x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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Isaac TeSlaa
WR3Healthy

IsaacTeSlaa

37%TD Prob
WR · Detroit
DET logoDETVSNO logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore66
Consensus+385
Edge+20.5pp
Live16% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 97
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.3 points
  • Defensive matchup: NO allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Limited usage: Expected 7% target share and 0% carry share
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Ashton Jeanty
RB1Healthy

AshtonJeanty

36%TD Prob
RB · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore53
Consensus-132
Edge-7.8pp
Neutral44% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Goal-line role: 1.27 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.69 inside the 5)
  • Rushing volume: 57% of the team's expected carries
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.86x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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Breece Hall
RB1Healthy

BreeceHall

36%TD Prob
RB · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore56
Consensus+110
Edge-1.0pp
Neutral37% no-vig
  • Rushing volume: 55% of the team's expected carries
  • Goal-line role: 0.98 expected inside-10 opportunities
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Ladd McConkey
WR1Healthy

LaddMcConkey

36%TD Prob
WR · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore58
Consensus+135
Edge+2.0pp
Neutral34% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • End-zone targets: 1.01 expected end-zone targets
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Dallas Goedert
TE1Healthy

DallasGoedert

36%TD Prob
TE · Philadelphia
PHI logoPHIVSWAS logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore63
Consensus+218
Edge+11.0pp
Live25% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Defensive matchup: WAS allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Aaron Jones
RB1Healthy

AaronJones

35%TD Prob
RB · Minnesota
MIN logoMINVSGB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore60
Consensus+167
Edge+6.0pp
Live29% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 35% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Rushing volume: 43% of the team's expected carries
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: GB allow only 0.80x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
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Rico Dowdle
RB2Healthy

RicoDowdle

35%TD Prob
RB · Pittsburgh
PIT logoPITVSATL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore55
Consensus+131
Edge-1.4pp
Neutral36% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: ATL allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Rushing volume: 40% of the team's expected carries
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 10% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Parker Washington
WR1Healthy

ParkerWashington

35%TD Prob
WR · Jacksonville
JAX logoJAXVSCLE logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore60
Consensus+193
Edge+8.4pp
Live26% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CLE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Passing volume: 20% of the team's expected targets
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Harold Fannin Jr.
TE1Healthy

HaroldFannin Jr.

35%TD Prob
TE · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore63
Consensus+335
Edge+17.2pp
Live18% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: JAX allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Bucky Irving
RB1Healthy

BuckyIrving

35%TD Prob
RB · Tampa Bay
TB logoTB@CIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore55
Consensus+110
Edge-1.0pp
Neutral36% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.29x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Rushing volume: 55% of the team's expected carries
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 28% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.89x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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Nico Collins
WR1Healthy

NicoCollins

35%TD Prob
WR · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore58
Consensus+160
Edge+4.1pp
Neutral31% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • End-zone targets: 0.69 expected end-zone targets
  • Passing volume: 22% of the team's expected targets
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.91x the TDs his target profile predicts
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Christian Watson
WR1Healthy

ChristianWatson

34%TD Prob
WR · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore59
Consensus+194
Edge+7.1pp
Neutral27% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • End-zone targets: 0.63 expected end-zone targets
  • Defensive matchup: MIN allow only 0.83x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
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Puka Nacua
WR1Healthy

PukaNacua

34%TD Prob
WR · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore54
Consensus+126
Edge-1.1pp
Neutral35% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Defensive matchup: SF allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Tre Tucker
WR1Healthy

TreTucker

34%TD Prob
WR · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore60
Consensus+223
Edge+10.0pp
Live24% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: MIA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Passing volume: 19% of the team's expected targets
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Quentin Johnston
WR2Healthy

QuentinJohnston

34%TD Prob
WR · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore54
Consensus+139
Edge+0.1pp
Neutral34% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.27x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Alec Pierce
WR1Healthy

AlecPierce

34%TD Prob
WR · Indianapolis
IND logoINDVSBAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore62
Consensus+318
Edge+14.5pp
Live19% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 24% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • End-zone targets: 0.68 expected end-zone targets
  • Defensive matchup: BAL allow only 0.80x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
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Michael Pittman
WR2Healthy

MichaelPittman

33%TD Prob
WR · Pittsburgh
PIT logoPITVSATL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore58
Consensus+233
Edge+8.0pp
Neutral25% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.21x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: ATL allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Drake London
WR1Healthy

DrakeLondon

33%TD Prob
WR · Atlanta
ATL logoATL@PIT logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore60
Consensus+270
Edge+10.7pp
Live23% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: PIT allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.14x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 3)
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Courtland Sutton
WR2Healthy

CourtlandSutton

33%TD Prob
WR · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore60
Consensus+255
Edge+10.6pp
Live23% no-vig
  • End-zone targets: 0.85 expected end-zone targets
  • Passing volume: 19% of the team's expected targets
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 21)
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Michael Wilson
WR2Healthy

MichaelWilson

33%TD Prob
WR · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore61
Consensus+323
Edge+14.3pp
Live19% no-vig
  • End-zone targets: 0.67 expected end-zone targets
  • Passing volume: 21% of the team's expected targets
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 13)
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George Pickens
WR2Healthy

GeorgePickens

33%TD Prob
WR · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore55
Consensus+155
Edge+3.5pp
Neutral29% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.8 points
  • End-zone targets: 0.75 expected end-zone targets
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Zay Flowers
WR1Healthy

ZayFlowers

33%TD Prob
WR · Baltimore
BAL logoBAL@IND logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore54
Consensus+163
Edge+2.4pp
Neutral30% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Passing volume: 28% of the team's expected targets
  • Defensive matchup: IND allow only 0.80x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
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Jauan Jennings
WR3Healthy

JauanJennings

33%TD Prob
WR · Minnesota
MIN logoMINVSGB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore60
Consensus+370
Edge+15.5pp
Live17% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.28x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: GB allow 1.15x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed 3rd on the WR depth chart
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Jake Ferguson
TE1Healthy

JakeFerguson

33%TD Prob
TE · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore60
Consensus+280
Edge+12.8pp
Live20% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • Defensive matchup: NYG allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Jalen Coker
WR2Healthy

JalenCoker

32%TD Prob
WR · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore59
Consensus+275
Edge+11.3pp
Neutral21% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.13x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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David Njoku
TE2Healthy

DavidNjoku

32%TD Prob
TE · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore60
Consensus+495
Edge+18.4pp
Live14% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Defensive matchup: ARI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Limited usage: Expected 9% target share and 0% carry share
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Kenneth Walker III
RB1Healthy

KennethWalker III

32%TD Prob
RB · Kansas City
KC logoKCVSDEN logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore45
Consensus-123
Edge-11.4pp
Tough Path44% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 0.91 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.57 inside the 5)
  • Rushing volume: 42% of the team's expected carries
  • Defensive matchup: DEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Blake Corum
RB2Healthy

BlakeCorum

32%TD Prob
RB · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore53
Consensus+176
Edge+3.1pp
Neutral29% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Defensive matchup: SF allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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David Montgomery
RB1Healthy

DavidMontgomery

32%TD Prob
RB · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore46
Consensus-107
Edge-8.8pp
Tough Path41% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: BUF allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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De'Von Achane
RB1Healthy

De'VonAchane

32%TD Prob
RB · Miami
MIA logoMIA@LV logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore48
Consensus+110
Edge-4.6pp
Tough Path36% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.26x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.19x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Rushing volume: 44% of the team's expected carries
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 10)
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TreVeyon Henderson
RB2Healthy

TreVeyonHenderson

32%TD Prob
RB · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore56
Consensus+280
Edge+9.4pp
Neutral22% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 1.05 expected inside-10 opportunities
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.16x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Rushing volume: 35% of the team's expected carries
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 24)
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Jameson Williams
WR2Healthy

JamesonWilliams

31%TD Prob
WR · Detroit
DET logoDETVSNO logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore52
Consensus+173
Edge+3.0pp
Neutral28% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 97
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.3 points
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Tyrone Tracy Jr.
RB2Healthy

TyroneTracy Jr.

31%TD Prob
RB · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore58
Consensus+305
Edge+13.0pp
Neutral18% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.11x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% fewer rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
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CeeDee Lamb
WR1Healthy

CeeDeeLamb

31%TD Prob
WR · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore49
Consensus+130
Edge-1.7pp
Tough Path33% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • End-zone targets: 0.92 expected end-zone targets
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.75x the TDs his target profile predicts
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Quinshon Judkins
RB1Healthy

QuinshonJudkins

31%TD Prob
RB · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore50
Consensus+163
Edge+1.1pp
Neutral30% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 0.94 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.56 inside the 5)
  • Rushing volume: 48% of the team's expected carries
  • Defensive matchup: JAX allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Samaje Perine
RB2Healthy

SamajePerine

31%TD Prob
RB · Cincinnati
CIN logoCINVSTB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore58
Consensus+340
Edge+13.6pp
Neutral17% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 94
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 27.0 points
  • Defensive matchup: TB allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Tank Bigsby
RB2Healthy

TankBigsby

31%TD Prob
RB · Philadelphia
PHI logoPHIVSWAS logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore58
Consensus+395
Edge+14.8pp
Neutral16% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 0.99 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.59 inside the 5)
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Defensive matchup: WAS allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.87x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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AJ Barner
TE1Healthy

AJBarner

31%TD Prob
TE · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore55
Consensus+280
Edge+8.7pp
Neutral22% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.26x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Rome Odunze
WR1Questionable

RomeOdunze

31%TD Prob
WR · Chicago
CHI logoCHI@CAR logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore52
Consensus+208
Edge+4.8pp
Neutral26% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • End-zone targets: 0.76 expected end-zone targets
  • Injury designation: Listed Questionable; projection discounted for availability
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Justin Jefferson
WR1Healthy

JustinJefferson

31%TD Prob
WR · Minnesota
MIN logoMINVSGB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore49
Consensus+160
Edge-0.8pp
Tough Path31% no-vig
  • End-zone targets: 0.85 expected end-zone targets
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Passing volume: 24% of the team's expected targets
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.70x the TDs his target profile predicts
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Tony Pollard
RB1Healthy

TonyPollard

30%TD Prob
RB · Tennessee
TEN logoTENVSNYJ logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore48
Consensus+140
Edge-1.9pp
Tough Path32% no-vig
  • Rushing volume: 54% of the team's expected carries
  • Defensive matchup: NYJ allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 19)
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Tucker Kraft
TE1Healthy

TuckerKraft

30%TD Prob
TE · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore51
Consensus+205
Edge+4.3pp
Neutral26% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: MIN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Jordan Addison
WR2Healthy

JordanAddison

30%TD Prob
WR · Minnesota
MIN logoMINVSGB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore53
Consensus+243
Edge+6.4pp
Neutral24% no-vig
  • End-zone targets: 0.74 expected end-zone targets
  • Defensive matchup: GB allow 1.15x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.82x the TDs his target profile predicts
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Josh Allen
QB1Healthy

JoshAllen

30%TD Prob
QB · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore46
Consensus+135
Edge-4.5pp
Tough Path34% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: HOU allow only 0.83x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
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Mike Gesicki
TE1Healthy

MikeGesicki

30%TD Prob
TE · Cincinnati
CIN logoCINVSTB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore56
Consensus+340
Edge+12.7pp
Neutral17% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 94
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 27.0 points
  • Defensive matchup: TB allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Rhamondre Stevenson
RB1Healthy

RhamondreStevenson

30%TD Prob
RB · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore45
Consensus+138
Edge-5.3pp
Tough Path35% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 11% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 24)
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Mark Andrews
TE1Healthy

MarkAndrews

29%TD Prob
TE · Baltimore
BAL logoBAL@IND logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore48
Consensus+175
Edge+0.4pp
Tough Path29% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 22% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Defensive matchup: IND allow only 0.90x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
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Jaxson Dart
QB1Healthy

JaxsonDart

29%TD Prob
QB · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore51
Consensus+223
Edge+6.1pp
Neutral23% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% fewer rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
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Adonai Mitchell
WR2Healthy

AdonaiMitchell

29%TD Prob
WR · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore55
Consensus+400
Edge+13.7pp
Neutral15% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Passing volume: 20% of the team's expected targets
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Devaughn Vele
WR2Healthy

DevaughnVele

29%TD Prob
WR · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore55
Consensus+365
Edge+12.3pp
Neutral17% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DET allow 1.14x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Bhayshul Tuten
RB1Healthy

BhayshulTuten

29%TD Prob
RB · Jacksonville
JAX logoJAXVSCLE logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore45
Consensus+140
Edge-4.0pp
Tough Path33% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.22x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: CLE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Jakobi Meyers
WR3Healthy

JakobiMeyers

29%TD Prob
WR · Jacksonville
JAX logoJAXVSCLE logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore51
Consensus+258
Edge+7.2pp
Neutral22% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CLE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Passing volume: 20% of the team's expected targets
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.78x the TDs his target profile predicts
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Chimere Dike
WR1Healthy

ChimereDike

29%TD Prob
WR · Tennessee
TEN logoTENVSNYJ logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore55
Consensus+925
Edge+21.3pp
Neutral8% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: NYJ allow 1.14x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.10x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 19)
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Hunter Henry
TE1Healthy

HunterHenry

29%TD Prob
TE · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore52
Consensus+310
Edge+9.0pp
Neutral20% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.17x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: SEA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 24)
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Malik Benson
WR1Healthy

MalikBenson

29%TD Prob
WR · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore55
Consensus+738
Edge+19.7pp
Neutral9% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: MIA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Marvin Harrison Jr.
WR1Healthy

MarvinHarrison Jr.

28%TD Prob
WR · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore50
Consensus+253
Edge+6.0pp
Neutral22% no-vig
  • End-zone targets: 0.81 expected end-zone targets
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 13)
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Travis Etienne
RB1Healthy

TravisEtienne

28%TD Prob
RB · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore40
Consensus+100
Edge-10.6pp
Tough Path39% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Rushing volume: 41% of the team's expected carries
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: DET allow only 0.80x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
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Devin Singletary
RB3Healthy

DevinSingletary

28%TD Prob
RB · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore54
Consensus+800
Edge+20.1pp
Neutral8% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 0.94 expected inside-10 opportunities (0.52 inside the 5)
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.11x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed 3rd on the RB depth chart
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George Kittle
TE1Healthy

GeorgeKittle

28%TD Prob
TE · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore50
Consensus+280
Edge+7.1pp
Neutral21% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: LA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Tyjae Spears
RB2Healthy

TyjaeSpears

28%TD Prob
RB · Tennessee
TEN logoTENVSNYJ logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore50
Consensus+255
Edge+5.8pp
Neutral22% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NYJ allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 15% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 19)
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DeVonta Smith
WR1Healthy

DeVontaSmith

28%TD Prob
WR · Philadelphia
PHI logoPHIVSWAS logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore46
Consensus+183
Edge+0.3pp
Tough Path28% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: WAS allow 1.18x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Jordan Mason
RB2Healthy

JordanMason

28%TD Prob
RB · Minnesota
MIN logoMINVSGB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore44
Consensus+150
Edge-3.9pp
Tough Path32% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 35% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.12x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Defensive matchup: GB allow only 0.80x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
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Travis Kelce
TE1Healthy

TravisKelce

28%TD Prob
TE · Kansas City
KC logoKCVSDEN logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore47
Consensus+218
Edge+2.8pp
Tough Path25% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.18x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: DEN allow 1.16x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Wan'Dale Robinson
WR2Healthy

Wan'DaleRobinson

28%TD Prob
WR · Tennessee
TEN logoTENVSNYJ logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore52
Consensus+350
Edge+10.3pp
Neutral17% no-vig
  • Passing volume: 26% of the team's expected targets
  • Defensive matchup: NYJ allow 1.14x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 19)
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J.K. Dobbins
RB1Healthy

J.K.Dobbins

27%TD Prob
RB · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore44
Consensus+175
Edge-2.1pp
Tough Path30% no-vig
  • Rushing volume: 41% of the team's expected carries
  • Defensive matchup: KC allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 21)
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Tyquan Thornton
WR3Healthy

TyquanThornton

27%TD Prob
WR · Kansas City
KC logoKCVSDEN logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore53
Consensus+638
Edge+16.2pp
Neutral11% no-vig
  • End-zone targets: 0.77 expected end-zone targets
  • Limited usage: Expected 8% target share and 0% carry share
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Chuba Hubbard
RB1Healthy

ChubaHubbard

27%TD Prob
RB · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore40
Consensus+129
Edge-7.5pp
Tough Path35% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.29x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Goal-line role: 1.00 expected inside-10 opportunities
  • Defensive matchup: CHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.84x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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Woody Marks
RB2Healthy

WoodyMarks

27%TD Prob
RB · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore48
Consensus+255
Edge+5.0pp
Tough Path22% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.16x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Rushing volume: 41% of the team's expected carries
  • Defensive matchup: BUF allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.71x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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Kayshon Boutte
WR2Healthy

KayshonBoutte

27%TD Prob
WR · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore50
Consensus+370
Edge+9.8pp
Neutral17% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.19x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.17 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Tyler Shough
QB1Healthy

TylerShough

27%TD Prob
QB · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore50
Consensus+370
Edge+10.2pp
Neutral17% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Trevor Lawrence
QB1Healthy

TrevorLawrence

27%TD Prob
QB · Jacksonville
JAX logoJAXVSCLE logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore47
Consensus+258
Edge+4.7pp
Tough Path22% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.24x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: CLE allow only 0.86x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
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Emeka Egbuka
WR1Healthy

EmekaEgbuka

26%TD Prob
WR · Tampa Bay
TB logoTB@CIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore43
Consensus+170
Edge-1.5pp
Tough Path28% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: CIN allow only 0.87x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
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Bryce Young
QB1Healthy

BryceYoung

26%TD Prob
QB · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore51
Consensus+445
Edge+11.8pp
Neutral14% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CHI allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Ty Johnson
RB2Questionable

TyJohnson

26%TD Prob
RB · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore51
Consensus+638
Edge+15.5pp
Neutral11% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.17x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: HOU allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Defensive matchup: HOU allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Injury designation: Listed Questionable; projection discounted for availability
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Jaylen Waddle
WR1Healthy

JaylenWaddle

26%TD Prob
WR · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore43
Consensus+208
Edge-0.5pp
Tough Path26% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.11x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Passing volume: 18% of the team's expected targets
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 21)
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Kyle Pitts
TE1Healthy

KylePitts

26%TD Prob
TE · Atlanta
ATL logoATL@PIT logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore48
Consensus+400
Edge+9.1pp
Tough Path17% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.16x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: PIT allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 3)
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Rachaad White
RB2Healthy

RachaadWhite

26%TD Prob
RB · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore44
Consensus+238
Edge+2.8pp
Tough Path23% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: PHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 10% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Jalen Nailor
WR2Healthy

JalenNailor

26%TD Prob
WR · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore47
Consensus+345
Edge+7.9pp
Tough Path18% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: MIA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Tyler Allgeier
RB2Healthy

TylerAllgeier

26%TD Prob
RB · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore43
Consensus+223
Edge+1.2pp
Tough Path24% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.10x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 13)
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Dawson Knox
TE2Healthy

DawsonKnox

26%TD Prob
TE · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore50
Consensus+600
Edge+14.3pp
Neutral11% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: HOU allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Cade Otton
TE1Healthy

CadeOtton

25%TD Prob
TE · Tampa Bay
TB logoTB@CIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore46
Consensus+275
Edge+5.8pp
Tough Path20% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CIN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Passing volume: 19% of the team's expected targets
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.91x the TDs his target profile predicts
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Kareem Hunt
RotationalHealthy

KareemHunt

25%TD Prob
RB · Kansas City
KC logoKCVSDEN logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore42
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: DEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% fewer rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
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Bam Knight
RB3Healthy

BamKnight

25%TD Prob
RB · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore50
Consensus+1800
Edge+21.0pp
Neutral4% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 13)
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Zach Charbonnet
RB7Healthy

ZachCharbonnet

25%TD Prob
RB · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore42
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Depth chart: Listed 7th on the RB depth chart
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Charlie Kolar
TE1Healthy

CharlieKolar

25%TD Prob
TE · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore48
Consensus+450
Edge+10.4pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.16x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Limited usage: Expected 9% target share and 0% carry share
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Connor Heyward
RB1Healthy

ConnorHeyward

25%TD Prob
RB · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore50
Consensus+1100
Edge+18.5pp
Neutral6% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: MIA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Marquise Brown
WR4Healthy

MarquiseBrown

25%TD Prob
WR · Philadelphia
PHI logoPHIVSWAS logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore42
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.16x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: WAS allow 1.18x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed 4th on the WR depth chart
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Calvin Austin III
WR2Healthy

CalvinAustin III

24%TD Prob
WR · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore49
Consensus+625
Edge+14.6pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.17x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.15 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Cooper Kupp
WR3Healthy

CooperKupp

24%TD Prob
WR · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore39
Consensus+210
Edge-2.3pp
Tough Path27% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed 3rd on the WR depth chart
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Sam LaPorta
TE1Healthy

SamLaPorta

24%TD Prob
TE · Detroit
DET logoDETVSNO logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore38
Consensus+180
Edge-3.4pp
Tough Path28% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 97
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.3 points
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.21x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Ryan Flournoy
WR3Healthy

RyanFlournoy

24%TD Prob
WR · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore45
Consensus+378
Edge+8.3pp
Tough Path16% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.8 points
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.12x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Depth chart: Listed 3rd on the WR depth chart
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A.J. Brown
WR1Healthy

A.J.Brown

24%TD Prob
WR · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore35
Consensus+163
Edge-7.5pp
Tough Path31% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.28x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 21% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 24)
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Bo Nix
QB1Healthy

BoNix

24%TD Prob
QB · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore45
Consensus+425
Edge+8.6pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Defensive matchup: KC allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 21)
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Jaylen Wright
RB2Healthy

JaylenWright

24%TD Prob
RB · Miami
MIA logoMIA@LV logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore47
Consensus+650
Edge+13.0pp
Tough Path11% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 10)
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Brian Thomas Jr.
WR1Healthy

BrianThomas Jr.

24%TD Prob
WR · Jacksonville
JAX logoJAXVSCLE logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore41
Consensus+263
Edge+2.0pp
Tough Path22% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CLE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.84x the TDs his target profile predicts
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Xavier Legette
WR2Healthy

XavierLegette

23%TD Prob
WR · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore45
Consensus+450
Edge+9.1pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.83x the TDs his target profile predicts
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Tyler Warren
TE1Healthy

TylerWarren

23%TD Prob
TE · Indianapolis
IND logoINDVSBAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore37
Consensus+200
Edge-3.3pp
Tough Path27% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 24% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Passing volume: 19% of the team's expected targets
  • Defensive matchup: BAL allow only 0.81x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
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Brenton Strange
TE1Healthy

BrentonStrange

23%TD Prob
TE · Jacksonville
JAX logoJAXVSCLE logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore40
Consensus+270
Edge+2.1pp
Tough Path21% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: CLE allow only 0.82x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
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T.J. Hockenson
TE1Healthy

T.J.Hockenson

23%TD Prob
TE · Minnesota
MIN logoMINVSGB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore43
Consensus+390
Edge+6.9pp
Tough Path16% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: GB allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Kimani Vidal
RB3Healthy

KimaniVidal

23%TD Prob
RB · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore43
Consensus+400
Edge+7.0pp
Tough Path16% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Defensive matchup: ARI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed 3rd on the RB depth chart
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Garrett Wilson
WR1Healthy

GarrettWilson

23%TD Prob
WR · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore38
Consensus+215
Edge-1.5pp
Tough Path25% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.25x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Greg Dulcich
TE1Healthy

GregDulcich

23%TD Prob
TE · Miami
MIA logoMIA@LV logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore44
Consensus+450
Edge+9.2pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: LV allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 10)
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Chris Godwin Jr.
WR2Healthy

ChrisGodwin Jr.

23%TD Prob
WR · Tampa Bay
TB logoTB@CIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore38
Consensus+215
Edge-0.8pp
Tough Path24% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Defensive matchup: CIN allow only 0.87x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
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Mike Evans
WR1Healthy

MikeEvans

23%TD Prob
WR · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore36
Consensus+208
Edge-3.4pp
Tough Path26% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Emanuel Wilson
RB3Healthy

EmanuelWilson

23%TD Prob
RB · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore42
Consensus+400
Edge+6.3pp
Tough Path16% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Depth chart: Listed 3rd on the RB depth chart
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Dalton Schultz
TE1Healthy

DaltonSchultz

23%TD Prob
TE · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore41
Consensus+313
Edge+3.6pp
Tough Path19% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Defensive matchup: BUF allow only 0.89x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
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Brashard Smith
RB2Healthy

BrashardSmith

23%TD Prob
RB · Kansas City
KC logoKCVSDEN logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore46
Consensus+1100
Edge+16.0pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Goal-line role: 0.96 expected inside-10 opportunities
  • Defensive matchup: DEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.85x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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Braelon Allen
RB2Healthy

BraelonAllen

22%TD Prob
RB · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore41
Consensus+330
Edge+4.3pp
Tough Path18% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Malik Washington
WR1Healthy

MalikWashington

22%TD Prob
WR · Miami
MIA logoMIA@LV logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore41
Consensus+360
Edge+6.0pp
Tough Path16% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.14x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 10)
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Daniel Jones
QB1Healthy

DanielJones

22%TD Prob
QB · Indianapolis
IND logoINDVSBAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore42
Consensus+420
Edge+6.9pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.14x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Defensive matchup: BAL allow 1.08x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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DJ Moore
WR1Healthy

DJMoore

22%TD Prob
WR · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore38
Consensus+253
Edge-0.1pp
Tough Path22% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Tez Johnson
WR2Healthy

TezJohnson

22%TD Prob
WR · Tampa Bay
TB logoTB@CIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore44
Consensus+550
Edge+10.5pp
Tough Path12% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.15x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Limited usage: Expected 8% target share and 2% carry share
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Emmett Johnson
RB2Healthy

EmmettJohnson

22%TD Prob
RB · Kansas City
KC logoKCVSDEN logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore44
Consensus+650
Edge+11.0pp
Tough Path11% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Jalen Hurts
QB1Healthy

JalenHurts

22%TD Prob
QB · Philadelphia
PHI logoPHIVSWAS logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore29
Consensus+125
Edge-13.0pp
Tough Path35% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.14x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Defensive matchup: WAS allow only 0.80x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
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Jake Tonges
TE2Healthy

JakeTonges

22%TD Prob
TE · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore44
Consensus+700
Edge+11.8pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.23x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: LA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 8% target share and 0% carry share
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John Metchie III
WR4Healthy

JohnMetchie III

22%TD Prob
WR · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore45
Consensus+1100
Edge+15.2pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.10x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Depth chart: Listed 4th on the WR depth chart
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Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR1Healthy

DeeboSamuel Sr.

22%TD Prob
WR · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore40
Consensus+355
Edge+4.3pp
Tough Path17% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.19x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Zavion Thomas
WR2Healthy

ZavionThomas

21%TD Prob
WR · Chicago
CHI logoCHI@CAR logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore45
Consensus+1100
Edge+14.8pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.3 points
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Ray Davis
RB1Healthy

RayDavis

21%TD Prob
RB · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore42
Consensus+500
Edge+8.4pp
Tough Path13% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.21x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: HOU allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Defensive matchup: HOU allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.86x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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Keon Coleman
WR3Healthy

KeonColeman

21%TD Prob
WR · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore43
Consensus+625
Edge+10.5pp
Tough Path11% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Depth chart: Listed 3rd on the WR depth chart
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Gunnar Helm
TE1Healthy

GunnarHelm

21%TD Prob
TE · Tennessee
TEN logoTENVSNYJ logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore40
Consensus+450
Edge+7.1pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NYJ allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 19)
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Brian Robinson
RB1Healthy

BrianRobinson

21%TD Prob
RB · Atlanta
ATL logoATL@PIT logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore40
Consensus+500
Edge+7.0pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 34% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 3)
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Jacob Saylors
RB1Healthy

JacobSaylors

21%TD Prob
RB · Detroit
DET logoDETVSNO logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore39
Consensus+433
Edge+6.1pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 97
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.3 points
  • Defensive matchup: NO allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Small sample: Only 1 games of measured usage
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Alec Ingold
RB1Healthy

AlecIngold

20%TD Prob
RB · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore43
Consensus+2850
Edge+17.6pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Defensive matchup: ARI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Theo Johnson
TE2Healthy

TheoJohnson

20%TD Prob
TE · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore40
Consensus+550
Edge+8.9pp
Tough Path11% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 10% fewer receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
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Drake Maye
QB1Healthy

DrakeMaye

20%TD Prob
QB · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore36
Consensus+360
Edge+2.2pp
Tough Path18% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: SEA allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 11% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 24)
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Justice Hill
RB2Healthy

JusticeHill

20%TD Prob
RB · Baltimore
BAL logoBAL@IND logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore39
Consensus+500
Edge+7.0pp
Tough Path13% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.17x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Darnell Mooney
WR3Healthy

DarnellMooney

20%TD Prob
WR · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore41
Consensus+625
Edge+9.8pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.17x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.81x the TDs his target profile predicts
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Dontayvion Wicks
WR2Healthy

DontayvionWicks

20%TD Prob
WR · Philadelphia
PHI logoPHIVSWAS logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore35
Consensus+313
Edge+1.3pp
Tough Path19% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Defensive matchup: WAS allow 1.18x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.3 points
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.19 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Patrick Mahomes
QB1Healthy

PatrickMahomes

20%TD Prob
QB · Kansas City
KC logoKCVSDEN logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore40
Consensus+700
Edge+9.8pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: DEN allow only 0.87x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
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Dalton Kincaid
TE1Healthy

DaltonKincaid

20%TD Prob
TE · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore35
Consensus+323
Edge+1.0pp
Tough Path19% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.26x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: HOU allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Terry McLaurin
WR1Healthy

TerryMcLaurin

20%TD Prob
WR · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore33
Consensus+255
Edge-2.1pp
Tough Path22% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Hunter Luepke
RB1Healthy

HunterLuepke

20%TD Prob
RB · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore42
Consensus+1000
Edge+12.9pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • Defensive matchup: NYG allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Defensive matchup: NYG allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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KaVontae Turpin
WR1Healthy

KaVontaeTurpin

20%TD Prob
WR · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore40
Consensus+750
Edge+10.8pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.8 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 8% target share and 3% carry share
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Rashod Bateman
WR2Healthy

RashodBateman

20%TD Prob
WR · Baltimore
BAL logoBAL@IND logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore33
Consensus+290
Edge-0.7pp
Tough Path20% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 22% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • Defensive matchup: IND allow only 0.80x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
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Treylon Burks
WR3Healthy

TreylonBurks

20%TD Prob
WR · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore40
Consensus+700
Edge+9.8pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Dareke Young
WR2Healthy

DarekeYoung

19%TD Prob
WR · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore42
Consensus+5250
Edge+18.0pp
Tough Path1% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: MIA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 0% carry share
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Romeo Doubs
WR2Healthy

RomeoDoubs

19%TD Prob
WR · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore32
Consensus+280
Edge-2.2pp
Tough Path22% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 21% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 24)
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Ja'Marr Chase
WR1Healthy

Ja'MarrChase

19%TD Prob
WR · Cincinnati
CIN logoCINVSTB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore25
Consensus-118
Edge-21.1pp
Tough Path40% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 94
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 27.0 points
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Injury designation: Listed DNP; projection discounted for availability
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Tory Horton
WR2Healthy

ToryHorton

19%TD Prob
WR · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore40
Consensus+888
Edge+10.4pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.26x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Limited usage: Expected 5% target share and 0% carry share
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Max Bredeson
RB1Healthy

MaxBredeson

19%TD Prob
RB · Minnesota
MIN logoMINVSGB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore41
Consensus+1850
Edge+14.9pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 35% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Payne Durham
TE2Healthy

PayneDurham

19%TD Prob
TE · Tampa Bay
TB logoTB@CIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore41
Consensus+1550
Edge+14.6pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CIN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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Darren Waller
TE3Healthy

DarrenWaller

19%TD Prob
TE · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore36
Consensus+423
Edge+4.0pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.24x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 0% carry share
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Dohnte Meyers
WR1Healthy

DohnteMeyers

19%TD Prob
WR · Cincinnati
CIN logoCINVSTB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore41
Consensus+1375
Edge+14.1pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 94
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 27.0 points
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Keaton Mitchell
RB2Healthy

KeatonMitchell

19%TD Prob
RB · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore34
Consensus+360
Edge+1.6pp
Tough Path18% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Defensive matchup: ARI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Jadarian Price
RB1Healthy

JadarianPrice

19%TD Prob
RB · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore25
Consensus+128
Edge-17.0pp
Tough Path36% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Keenan Allen
WR3Healthy

KeenanAllen

19%TD Prob
WR · Indianapolis
IND logoINDVSBAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore33
Consensus+325
Edge+0.4pp
Tough Path19% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 24% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Passing volume: 18% of the team's expected targets
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.84x the TDs his target profile predicts
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Isaiah Likely
TE1Healthy

IsaiahLikely

19%TD Prob
TE · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore35
Consensus+340
Edge+2.4pp
Tough Path17% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Rasheen Ali
RB1Healthy

RasheenAli

19%TD Prob
RB · Baltimore
BAL logoBAL@IND logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore41
Consensus+1450
Edge+13.8pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Andrew Beck
RB1Healthy

AndrewBeck

19%TD Prob
RB · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore41
Consensus+3450
Edge+16.8pp
Tough Path2% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Dylan Sampson
RB2Healthy

DylanSampson

19%TD Prob
RB · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore39
Consensus+775
Edge+9.8pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: JAX allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.10x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Mason Taylor
TE1Healthy

MasonTaylor

19%TD Prob
TE · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore36
Consensus+500
Edge+6.0pp
Tough Path13% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Passing volume: 18% of the team's expected targets
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Emari Demercado
RB3Healthy

EmariDemercado

19%TD Prob
RB · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore36
Consensus+450
Edge+5.2pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • Defensive matchup: NYG allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Defensive matchup: NYG allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed 3rd on the RB depth chart
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Luther Burden III
WR2Healthy

LutherBurden III

19%TD Prob
WR · Chicago
CHI logoCHI@CAR logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+185
Edge-8.8pp
Tough Path28% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.3 points
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.06 expected inside-10 opportunities
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C.J. Stroud
QB1Healthy

C.J.Stroud

19%TD Prob
QB · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore40
Consensus+950
Edge+11.3pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: BUF allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% fewer rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
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Kalif Raymond
WR1Healthy

KalifRaymond

19%TD Prob
WR · Chicago
CHI logoCHI@CAR logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore38
Consensus+675
Edge+8.6pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.3 points
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.18 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Khalil Shakir
WR2Healthy

KhalilShakir

19%TD Prob
WR · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore33
Consensus+350
Edge+1.1pp
Tough Path17% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.20x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Juwan Johnson
TE1Healthy

JuwanJohnson

18%TD Prob
TE · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore29
Consensus+235
Edge-4.5pp
Tough Path23% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DET allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.06 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Josh Downs
WR2Healthy

JoshDowns

18%TD Prob
WR · Indianapolis
IND logoINDVSBAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore31
Consensus+280
Edge-2.5pp
Tough Path21% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 24% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.11x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: BAL allow only 0.80x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
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Jayden Daniels
QB1Healthy

JaydenDaniels

18%TD Prob
QB · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore30
Consensus+260
Edge-3.2pp
Tough Path21% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: PHI allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 10% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Tre Harris
WR3Healthy

TreHarris

18%TD Prob
WR · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore32
Consensus+350
Edge+0.4pp
Tough Path18% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 9% target share and 1% carry share
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Cam Ward
QB1Healthy

CamWard

18%TD Prob
QB · Tennessee
TEN logoTENVSNYJ logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore37
Consensus+750
Edge+8.7pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NYJ allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 15% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 19)
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Cole Kmet
TE2Healthy

ColeKmet

18%TD Prob
TE · Chicago
CHI logoCHI@CAR logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore34
Consensus+475
Edge+3.9pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.3 points
  • Defensive matchup: CAR allow 1.12x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Limited usage: Expected 10% target share and 0% carry share
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Lamar Jackson
QB1Healthy

LamarJackson

18%TD Prob
QB · Baltimore
BAL logoBAL@IND logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore29
Consensus+255
Edge-4.2pp
Tough Path22% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Caleb Douglas
WR2Healthy

CalebDouglas

18%TD Prob
WR · Miami
MIA logoMIA@LV logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore34
Consensus+475
Edge+4.6pp
Tough Path13% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 10)
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Kevin Coleman Jr.
WR2Healthy

KevinColeman Jr.

18%TD Prob
WR · Miami
MIA logoMIA@LV logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore38
Consensus+1200
Edge+11.8pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 10)
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Ollie Gordon II
RB3Healthy

OllieGordon II

18%TD Prob
RB · Miami
MIA logoMIA@LV logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore34
Consensus+500
Edge+5.2pp
Tough Path13% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.09x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 10)
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Tyler Higbee
TE2Healthy

TylerHigbee

18%TD Prob
TE · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore34
Consensus+490
Edge+4.3pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.17x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: SF allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Limited usage: Expected 10% target share and 0% carry share
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Michael Mayer
TE2Healthy

MichaelMayer

18%TD Prob
TE · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+238
Edge-5.3pp
Tough Path23% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: MIA allow 1.11x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.19 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Jonathon Brooks
RB2Healthy

JonathonBrooks

18%TD Prob
RB · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus+215
Edge-7.6pp
Tough Path25% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Olamide Zaccheaus
WR2Healthy

OlamideZaccheaus

18%TD Prob
WR · Atlanta
ATL logoATL@PIT logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore37
Consensus+900
Edge+9.4pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: PIT allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 3)
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Brady Russell
RB1Healthy

BradyRussell

18%TD Prob
RB · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore39
Consensus+3950
Edge+15.0pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Small sample: Only 1 games of measured usage
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Seth McGowan
RB2Healthy

SethMcGowan

18%TD Prob
RB · Indianapolis
IND logoINDVSBAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore36
Consensus+800
Edge+8.6pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Pat Freiermuth
TE1Healthy

PatFreiermuth

17%TD Prob
TE · Pittsburgh
PIT logoPITVSATL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore31
Consensus+383
Edge+0.3pp
Tough Path17% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.15x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: ATL allow only 0.82x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
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Xavier Hutchinson
WR3Healthy

XavierHutchinson

17%TD Prob
WR · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore33
Consensus+468
Edge+3.6pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.12 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Chris Brooks
RB2Healthy

ChrisBrooks

17%TD Prob
RB · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore29
Consensus+308
Edge-2.3pp
Tough Path20% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 27% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Defensive matchup: MIN allow only 0.80x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
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Ted Hurst III
WR4Healthy

TedHurst III

17%TD Prob
WR · Tampa Bay
TB logoTB@CIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore32
Consensus+465
Edge+3.7pp
Tough Path13% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Travis Hunter
WR1Healthy

TravisHunter

17%TD Prob
WR · Jacksonville
JAX logoJAXVSCLE logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore35
Consensus+875
Edge+8.7pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CLE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Limited usage: Expected 7% target share and 1% carry share
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Kaleb Johnson
RB3Healthy

KalebJohnson

17%TD Prob
RB · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore33
Consensus+600
Edge+5.3pp
Tough Path12% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 27% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Defensive matchup: MIN allow only 0.80x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
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Dak Prescott
QB1Healthy

DakPrescott

17%TD Prob
QB · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore33
Consensus+600
Edge+6.2pp
Tough Path11% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.8 points
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Sione Vaki
RB2Healthy

SioneVaki

17%TD Prob
RB · Detroit
DET logoDETVSNO logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore34
Consensus+700
Edge+7.0pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 97
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.3 points
  • Defensive matchup: NO allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Small sample: Only 1 games of measured usage
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Jayden Reed
WR2Healthy

JaydenReed

17%TD Prob
WR · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore27
Consensus+275
Edge-4.9pp
Tough Path22% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 11% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 7% target share and 2% carry share
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Kaden Wetjen
WR1Healthy

KadenWetjen

17%TD Prob
WR · Pittsburgh
PIT logoPITVSATL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore37
Consensus+1550
Edge+11.8pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: ATL allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Kyle Juszczyk
RB1Healthy

KyleJuszczyk

17%TD Prob
RB · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore36
Consensus+1050
Edge+9.9pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.09x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 6% carry share
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Jerry Jeudy
WR1Healthy

JerryJeudy

17%TD Prob
WR · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore31
Consensus+468
Edge+2.7pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Passing volume: 19% of the team's expected targets
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Rashid Shaheed
WR1Healthy

RashidShaheed

17%TD Prob
WR · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus+275
Edge-5.5pp
Tough Path22% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.08 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Elic Ayomanor
WR5Healthy

ElicAyomanor

17%TD Prob
WR · Tennessee
TEN logoTENVSNYJ logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore34
Consensus+825
Edge+8.3pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NYJ allow 1.14x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 19)
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Jahdae Walker
WR5Healthy

JahdaeWalker

17%TD Prob
WR · Chicago
CHI logoCHI@CAR logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore35
Consensus+975
Edge+9.2pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.3 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Alvin Kamara
RB2Questionable

AlvinKamara

16%TD Prob
RB · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore30
Consensus+400
Edge+1.0pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Injury designation: Listed Questionable; projection discounted for availability
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Oronde Gadsden II
TE3Healthy

OrondeGadsden II

16%TD Prob
TE · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore31
Consensus+500
Edge+3.1pp
Tough Path13% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Defensive matchup: ARI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 0% carry share
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Chig Okonkwo
TE1Healthy

ChigOkonkwo

16%TD Prob
TE · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore30
Consensus+423
Edge+1.2pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Roman Wilson
WR3Healthy

RomanWilson

16%TD Prob
WR · Pittsburgh
PIT logoPITVSATL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore32
Consensus+675
Edge+5.1pp
Tough Path11% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.16x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: ATL allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Limited usage: Expected 8% target share and 0% carry share
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Mack Hollins
WR4Healthy

MackHollins

16%TD Prob
WR · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore33
Consensus+825
Edge+7.2pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 21% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 24)
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Tyler Lockett
RotationalHealthy

TylerLockett

16%TD Prob
WR · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: MIA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 0% carry share
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Geno Smith
QB1Healthy

GenoSmith

16%TD Prob
QB · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore34
Consensus+1100
Edge+9.1pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Jalen Tolbert
WR4Healthy

JalenTolbert

16%TD Prob
WR · Miami
MIA logoMIA@LV logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore33
Consensus+850
Edge+7.6pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 10)
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Brenen Thompson
WR2Healthy

BrenenThompson

16%TD Prob
WR · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore34
Consensus+1175
Edge+9.5pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Isaiah Williams
WR1Healthy

IsaiahWilliams

16%TD Prob
WR · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore32
Consensus+850
Edge+7.2pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Barion Brown
WR1Healthy

BarionBrown

16%TD Prob
WR · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore33
Consensus+925
Edge+8.0pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: DET allow 1.14x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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DJ Herman
RB1Healthy

DJHerman

16%TD Prob
RB · Miami
MIA logoMIA@LV logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore36
Consensus+3300
Edge+13.2pp
Tough Path2% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 10)
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Myles Price
WR1Healthy

MylesPrice

16%TD Prob
WR · Minnesota
MIN logoMINVSGB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore34
Consensus+1700
Edge+11.0pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: GB allow 1.15x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Malik Nabers
WR1Questionable

MalikNabers

16%TD Prob
WR · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore22
Consensus+198
Edge-10.0pp
Tough Path25% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.17x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Injury designation: Listed Questionable; projection discounted for availability
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Andrei Iosivas
WR3Healthy

AndreiIosivas

15%TD Prob
WR · Cincinnati
CIN logoCINVSTB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+390
Edge+0.1pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 94
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 27.0 points
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 15% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.15 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Demond Claiborne
RB2Healthy

DemondClaiborne

15%TD Prob
RB · Minnesota
MIN logoMINVSGB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore33
Consensus+1250
Edge+9.5pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 35% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Elijah Moore
WR2Healthy

ElijahMoore

15%TD Prob
WR · Philadelphia
PHI logoPHIVSWAS logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore35
Consensus+1900
Edge+11.5pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Defensive matchup: WAS allow 1.18x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.3 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 10% target share and 1% carry share
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Isaiah Davis
RB3Healthy

IsaiahDavis

15%TD Prob
RB · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore32
Consensus+850
Edge+7.2pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Evan Engram
TE1Healthy

EvanEngram

15%TD Prob
TE · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+465
Edge+1.4pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: KC allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 21)
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Will Shipley
RB1Healthy

WillShipley

15%TD Prob
RB · Philadelphia
PHI logoPHIVSWAS logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore33
Consensus+1300
Edge+9.7pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Defensive matchup: WAS allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Josh Cameron
WR2Healthy

JoshCameron

15%TD Prob
WR · Jacksonville
JAX logoJAXVSCLE logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore34
Consensus+1975
Edge+11.4pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CLE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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SC
RotationalHealthy

SalCannella

15%TD Prob
TE · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore27
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: JAX allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Michael Burton
RB1Healthy

MichaelBurton

15%TD Prob
RB · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore35
Consensus+4250
Edge+13.1pp
Tough Path2% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: JAX allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Jayden Higgins
WR7Healthy

JaydenHiggins

15%TD Prob
WR · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore27
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 0% carry share
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Chris Bell
WR3Healthy

ChrisBell

15%TD Prob
WR · Miami
MIA logoMIA@LV logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+538
Edge+2.8pp
Tough Path12% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 10)
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Stefon Diggs
WR2Healthy

StefonDiggs

15%TD Prob
WR · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore25
Consensus+365
Edge-2.0pp
Tough Path17% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.14x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Jimmy Horn Jr.
WR1Healthy

JimmyHorn Jr.

15%TD Prob
WR · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore30
Consensus+825
Edge+6.1pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Limited usage: Expected 7% target share and 2% carry share
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Xavier Worthy
WR2Healthy

XavierWorthy

15%TD Prob
WR · Kansas City
KC logoKCVSDEN logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore25
Consensus+355
Edge-3.3pp
Tough Path18% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.82x the TDs his target profile predicts
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Jonnu Smith
TE2Healthy

JonnuSmith

14%TD Prob
TE · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore29
Consensus+800
Edge+5.5pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: MIN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 11% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 8% target share and 2% carry share
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Ricky Pearsall
WR3Healthy

RickyPearsall

14%TD Prob
WR · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.78x the TDs his target profile predicts
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Tyler Badie
RB2Healthy

TylerBadie

14%TD Prob
RB · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore29
Consensus+750
Edge+4.8pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: KC allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 21)
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Mike Washington Jr.
RB2Healthy

MikeWashington Jr.

14%TD Prob
RB · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore24
Consensus+355
Edge-2.5pp
Tough Path17% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: MIA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Jahan Dotson
WR2Healthy

JahanDotson

14%TD Prob
WR · Atlanta
ATL logoATL@PIT logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+700
Edge+3.9pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: PIT allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 3)
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Konata Mumpfield
WR4Healthy

KonataMumpfield

14%TD Prob
WR · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore31
Consensus+1500
Edge+9.1pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Defensive matchup: SF allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 7% target share and 0% carry share
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Robbie Ouzts
RB3Healthy

RobbieOuzts

14%TD Prob
RB · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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LaJohntay Wester
WR1Healthy

LaJohntayWester

14%TD Prob
WR · Baltimore
BAL logoBAL@IND logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore31
Consensus+1575
Edge+9.3pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 22% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Carnell Tate
WR1Healthy

CarnellTate

14%TD Prob
WR · Tennessee
TEN logoTENVSNYJ logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore21
Consensus+270
Edge-6.8pp
Tough Path21% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: NYJ allow 1.14x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 19)
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Justin Herbert
QB1Healthy

JustinHerbert

14%TD Prob
QB · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore25
Consensus+445
Edge-0.8pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Jaylin Noel
WR1Healthy

JaylinNoel

14%TD Prob
WR · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore27
Consensus+600
Edge+2.5pp
Tough Path11% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.18x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 8% target share and 2% carry share
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Brock Lampe
RB2Healthy

BrockLampe

14%TD Prob
RB · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore25
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Makai Lemon
WR1Healthy

MakaiLemon

14%TD Prob
WR · Philadelphia
PHI logoPHIVSWAS logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore24
Consensus+400
Edge-1.6pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: WAS allow 1.18x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Kyle Williams
WR1Healthy

KyleWilliams

14%TD Prob
WR · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore30
Consensus+1200
Edge+7.4pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.22x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 21% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 7% target share and 1% carry share
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Raheim Sanders
RB3Healthy

RaheimSanders

14%TD Prob
RB · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore31
Consensus+2000
Edge+9.8pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: JAX allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Kameron Johnson
WR1Healthy

KameronJohnson

14%TD Prob
WR · Tampa Bay
TB logoTB@CIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore31
Consensus+1900
Edge+9.9pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.12x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 1% carry share
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Dont'e Thornton Jr.
WR6Healthy

Dont'eThornton Jr.

14%TD Prob
WR · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore29
Consensus+900
Edge+6.2pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: MIA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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Isiah Pacheco
RB4Healthy

IsiahPacheco

14%TD Prob
RB · Detroit
DET logoDETVSNO logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore17
Consensus+200
Edge-12.4pp
Tough Path26% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 97
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.3 points
  • Defensive matchup: NO allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed 4th on the RB depth chart
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Caleb Williams
QB1Healthy

CalebWilliams

14%TD Prob
QB · Chicago
CHI logoCHI@CAR logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore25
Consensus+488
Edge-0.1pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.3 points
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Colbie Young
WR4Healthy

ColbieYoung

14%TD Prob
WR · Cincinnati
CIN logoCINVSTB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+750
Edge+4.9pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 94
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 27.0 points
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 15% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Joe Burrow
QB1Healthy

JoeBurrow

14%TD Prob
QB · Cincinnati
CIN logoCINVSTB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore27
Consensus+700
Edge+4.2pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 94
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 27.0 points
  • Defensive matchup: TB allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Noah Fant
TE2Healthy

NoahFant

14%TD Prob
TE · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore27
Consensus+750
Edge+4.4pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DET allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.14x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Limited usage: Expected 7% target share and 0% carry share
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Mitchell Evans
TE2Healthy

MitchellEvans

14%TD Prob
TE · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+850
Edge+5.4pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.10x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Limited usage: Expected 7% target share and 1% carry share
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Xavier Smith
WR1Healthy

XavierSmith

14%TD Prob
WR · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore30
Consensus+1400
Edge+8.1pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Defensive matchup: SF allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Limited usage: Expected 8% target share and 0% carry share
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Tom Kennedy
WR1Healthy

TomKennedy

14%TD Prob
WR · Detroit
DET logoDETVSNO logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore30
Consensus+1600
Edge+9.0pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 97
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.3 points
  • Defensive matchup: NO allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Limited usage: Expected 6% target share and 0% carry share
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Jordan Love
QB1Healthy

JordanLove

13%TD Prob
QB · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+875
Edge+5.2pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 27% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: MIN allow only 0.80x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
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Brock Purdy
QB1Healthy

BrockPurdy

13%TD Prob
QB · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore24
Consensus+475
Edge-0.3pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.19x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Defensive matchup: LA allow only 0.80x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
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Jack Bech
WR3Healthy

JackBech

13%TD Prob
WR · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore27
Consensus+675
Edge+3.4pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: MIA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.17 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Eli Heidenreich
RB3Healthy

EliHeidenreich

13%TD Prob
RB · Pittsburgh
PIT logoPITVSATL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore29
Consensus+1400
Edge+7.8pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: ATL allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 10% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Omar Cooper Jr.
WR3Healthy

OmarCooper Jr.

13%TD Prob
WR · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+1000
Edge+6.0pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Skyy Moore
WR1Healthy

SkyyMoore

13%TD Prob
WR · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore29
Consensus+1600
Edge+8.5pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 11% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 9% target share and 1% carry share
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Malachi Fields
WR2Healthy

MalachiFields

13%TD Prob
WR · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore24
Consensus+423
Edge-1.1pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.17x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Josh Palmer
WR4Healthy

JoshPalmer

13%TD Prob
WR · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore24
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.81x the TDs his target profile predicts
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Trey Sermon
RB3Healthy

TreySermon

13%TD Prob
RB · Atlanta
ATL logoATL@PIT logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore24
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 34% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 3)
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Daniel Bellinger
TE2Healthy

DanielBellinger

13%TD Prob
TE · Tennessee
TEN logoTENVSNYJ logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore27
Consensus+875
Edge+4.9pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NYJ allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 19)
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Elijah Sarratt
WR2Healthy

ElijahSarratt

13%TD Prob
WR · Baltimore
BAL logoBAL@IND logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+1150
Edge+6.5pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 22% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Kirk Cousins
QB1Healthy

KirkCousins

13%TD Prob
QB · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore29
Consensus+1775
Edge+8.7pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: MIA allow 1.11x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Nikko Remigio
WR1Healthy

NikkoRemigio

13%TD Prob
WR · Kansas City
KC logoKCVSDEN logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore30
Consensus+2800
Edge+10.0pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 1% carry share
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Jeremiyah Love
RB1Questionable

JeremiyahLove

13%TD Prob
RB · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore15
Consensus+200
Edge-14.7pp
Tough Path27% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Injury designation: Listed Questionable; projection discounted for availability
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Pat Bryant
WR4Healthy

PatBryant

13%TD Prob
WR · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore22
Consensus+455
Edge-1.7pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 21)
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Kaelon Black
RB2Healthy

KaelonBlack

13%TD Prob
RB · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus+900
Edge+4.5pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Noah Gray
TE2Healthy

NoahGray

13%TD Prob
TE · Kansas City
KC logoKCVSDEN logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus+1000
Edge+5.2pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DEN allow 1.16x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Limited usage: Expected 9% target share and 0% carry share
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Derius Davis
WR1Healthy

DeriusDavis

12%TD Prob
WR · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus+1000
Edge+5.1pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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Cyrus Allen
WR4Healthy

CyrusAllen

12%TD Prob
WR · Kansas City
KC logoKCVSDEN logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus+975
Edge+4.8pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Marquez Valdes-Scantling
RotationalHealthy

MarquezValdes-Scantling

12%TD Prob
WR · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+1400
Edge+7.7pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.8 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Jacoby Brissett
QB1Healthy

JacobyBrissett

12%TD Prob
QB · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore25
Consensus+838
Edge+3.9pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: LAC allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 13)
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Dyami Brown
WR3Healthy

DyamiBrown

12%TD Prob
WR · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore27
Consensus+1400
Edge+7.3pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Tommy Tremble
TE1Healthy

TommyTremble

12%TD Prob
TE · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore23
Consensus+588
Edge+0.9pp
Tough Path11% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.12x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Limited usage: Expected 9% target share and 0% carry share
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Patrick Ricard
RB1Healthy

PatrickRicard

12%TD Prob
RB · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+2550
Edge+9.4pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.11x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 7% carry share
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Josh Whyle
TE3Healthy

JoshWhyle

12%TD Prob
TE · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus+1200
Edge+5.9pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: MIN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 11% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 0% carry share
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James Conner
RB4Healthy

JamesConner

12%TD Prob
RB · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore23
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 13)
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Ronnie Rivers
RB2Healthy

RonnieRivers

12%TD Prob
RB · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+3200
Edge+9.6pp
Tough Path2% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Defensive matchup: SF allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.20 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Ke'Shawn Williams
WR1Healthy

Ke'ShawnWilliams

12%TD Prob
WR · Cincinnati
CIN logoCINVSTB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore28
Consensus+2400
Edge+9.1pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 94
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 27.0 points
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Limited usage: Expected 5% target share and 1% carry share
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Kaytron Allen
RB3Healthy

KaytronAllen

12%TD Prob
RB · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore25
Consensus+950
Edge+4.7pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: PHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 10% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Brevyn Spann-Ford
TE2Healthy

BrevynSpann-Ford

12%TD Prob
TE · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore25
Consensus+900
Edge+4.8pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • Defensive matchup: NYG allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.8 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 5% target share and 0% carry share
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LeQuint Allen Jr.
RB2Questionable

LeQuintAllen Jr.

12%TD Prob
RB · Jacksonville
JAX logoJAXVSCLE logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore25
Consensus+1000
Edge+4.8pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CLE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Injury designation: Listed Questionable; projection discounted for availability
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Josh Reynolds
RotationalHealthy

JoshReynolds

12%TD Prob
WR · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore22
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Roschon Johnson
RB3Healthy

RoschonJohnson

12%TD Prob
RB · Chicago
CHI logoCHI@CAR logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore25
Consensus+1075
Edge+5.1pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.3 points
  • Defensive matchup: CAR allow 1.11x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 6% carry share
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Germie Bernard
WR4Healthy

GermieBernard

12%TD Prob
WR · Pittsburgh
PIT logoPITVSATL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore23
Consensus+750
Edge+1.7pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: ATL allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Deion Burks
WR3Healthy

DeionBurks

12%TD Prob
WR · Indianapolis
IND logoINDVSBAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore27
Consensus+2200
Edge+8.3pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 24% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Marvin Mims Jr.
WR1Healthy

MarvinMims Jr.

12%TD Prob
WR · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore23
Consensus+750
Edge+2.1pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 21)
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Miles Sanders
RotationalHealthy

MilesSanders

12%TD Prob
RB · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore22
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • Defensive matchup: NYG allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Defensive matchup: NYG allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 5% carry share
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Mo Alie-Cox
TE2Healthy

MoAlie-Cox

12%TD Prob
TE · Indianapolis
IND logoINDVSBAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore24
Consensus+800
Edge+2.9pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 24% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 6% target share and 0% carry share
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Kendrick Bourne
WR3Healthy

KendrickBourne

12%TD Prob
WR · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore23
Consensus+700
Edge+1.7pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 13)
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Devin Duvernay
WR1Healthy

DevinDuvernay

12%TD Prob
WR · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus+2050
Edge+7.7pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 13)
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Tay Martin
WR2Healthy

TayMartin

11%TD Prob
WR · Detroit
DET logoDETVSNO logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus+1500
Edge+6.7pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 97
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.3 points
  • Defensive matchup: NO allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 0% carry share
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David Sills
WR7Healthy

DavidSills

11%TD Prob
WR · Tampa Bay
TB logoTB@CIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore22
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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George Holani
RB2Healthy

GeorgeHolani

11%TD Prob
RB · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore13
Consensus+200
Edge-16.5pp
Tough Path28% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 7% carry share
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Malik Willis
QB1Healthy

MalikWillis

11%TD Prob
QB · Miami
MIA logoMIA@LV logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore16
Consensus+285
Edge-9.3pp
Tough Path21% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: LV allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.12x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 10)
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Tyreek Hill
RotationalHealthy

TyreekHill

11%TD Prob
WR · Miami
MIA logoMIA@LV logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore21
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 10)
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Tank Dell
WR3Healthy

TankDell

11%TD Prob
WR · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore21
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Jaylin Lane
WR1Healthy

JaylinLane

11%TD Prob
WR · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore24
Consensus+1100
Edge+4.8pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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British Brooks
RB3Healthy

BritishBrooks

11%TD Prob
RB · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus+2850
Edge+8.6pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: BUF allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 7% carry share
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Riley Nowakowski
TE1Healthy

RileyNowakowski

11%TD Prob
TE · Pittsburgh
PIT logoPITVSATL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore24
Consensus+1400
Edge+5.5pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the TE depth chart
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Nicholas Singleton
RB3Healthy

NicholasSingleton

11%TD Prob
RB · Tennessee
TEN logoTENVSNYJ logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore25
Consensus+1350
Edge+5.8pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NYJ allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 15% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 19)
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Troy Franklin
WR5Healthy

TroyFranklin

11%TD Prob
WR · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore24
Consensus+1200
Edge+5.0pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 21)
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Zachariah Branch
WR1Healthy

ZachariahBranch

11%TD Prob
WR · Atlanta
ATL logoATL@PIT logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore23
Consensus+1000
Edge+3.6pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: PIT allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 3)
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Jacob Cowing
WR1Healthy

JacobCowing

11%TD Prob
WR · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus+2350
Edge+7.8pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Jonah Coleman
RB3Healthy

JonahColeman

11%TD Prob
RB · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore22
Consensus+738
Edge+1.6pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: KC allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Reggie Gilliam
RB1Healthy

ReggieGilliam

11%TD Prob
RB · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore26
Consensus+3900
Edge+9.0pp
Tough Path2% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 11% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 24)
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Terrance Ferguson
TE3Healthy

TerranceFerguson

11%TD Prob
TE · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore17
Consensus+390
Edge-5.7pp
Tough Path17% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Defensive matchup: SF allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Scott Matlock
RB2Healthy

ScottMatlock

11%TD Prob
RB · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore27
Consensus+7000
Edge+9.8pp
Tough Path1% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Defensive matchup: ARI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 4% carry share
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Kyler Murray
QB1Healthy

KylerMurray

11%TD Prob
QB · Minnesota
MIN logoMINVSGB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore14
Consensus+273
Edge-10.6pp
Tough Path22% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 35% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Defensive matchup: GB allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • New team: Usage history comes from a different offense
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Bryce Lance
WR4Healthy

BryceLance

11%TD Prob
WR · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore23
Consensus+1000
Edge+4.0pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DET allow 1.14x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Jordan Whittington
WR1Healthy

JordanWhittington

11%TD Prob
WR · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore23
Consensus+1000
Edge+3.5pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Defensive matchup: SF allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Limited usage: Expected 6% target share and 0% carry share
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Darius Slayton
RotationalHealthy

DariusSlayton

11%TD Prob
WR · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore18
Consensus+370
Edge-4.4pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.17x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.78x the TDs his target profile predicts
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KC Concepcion
WR1Healthy

KCConcepcion

11%TD Prob
WR · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore19
Consensus+500
Edge-2.4pp
Tough Path13% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Baker Mayfield
QB1Healthy

BakerMayfield

11%TD Prob
QB · Tampa Bay
TB logoTB@CIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore20
Consensus+530
Edge-1.1pp
Tough Path12% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 28% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Dylan Laube
RB1Healthy

DylanLaube

11%TD Prob
RB · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore24
Consensus+1950
Edge+7.0pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: MIA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the RB depth chart
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 7% carry share
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Ja'Kobi Lane
WR3Healthy

Ja'KobiLane

11%TD Prob
WR · Baltimore
BAL logoBAL@IND logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore17
Consensus+410
Edge-5.1pp
Tough Path16% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 22% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Aaron Rodgers
QB1Healthy

AaronRodgers

11%TD Prob
QB · Pittsburgh
PIT logoPITVSATL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore23
Consensus+1500
Edge+5.3pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 10% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Defensive matchup: ATL allow only 0.85x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
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Savion Williams
WR2Healthy

SavionWilliams

10%TD Prob
WR · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore22
Consensus+1000
Edge+3.5pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.08x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 11% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 6% target share and 2% carry share
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Josh Oliver
TE2Healthy

JoshOliver

10%TD Prob
TE · Minnesota
MIN logoMINVSGB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore20
Consensus+750
Edge+1.0pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.30x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: GB allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Limited usage: Expected 7% target share and 0% carry share
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Demarcus Robinson
WR4Healthy

DemarcusRobinson

10%TD Prob
WR · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore21
Consensus+800
Edge+1.2pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 5% target share and 0% carry share
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AJ Dillon
RB3Healthy

AJDillon

10%TD Prob
RB · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore22
Consensus+1300
Edge+4.7pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.15 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Matthew Golden
WR3Healthy

MatthewGolden

10%TD Prob
WR · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore13
Consensus+295
Edge-10.2pp
Tough Path20% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 11% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.04 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Sam Darnold
QB1Healthy

SamDarnold

10%TD Prob
QB · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore21
Consensus+950
Edge+2.4pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.15x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Touchdown scoring is high-variance week to week
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Isaiah Bond
WR2Healthy

IsaiahBond

10%TD Prob
WR · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore22
Consensus+1350
Edge+4.7pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Odell Beckham Jr.
WR4Healthy

OdellBeckham Jr.

10%TD Prob
WR · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore21
Consensus+845
Edge+2.3pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.17x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Malachi Corley
WR1Healthy

MalachiCorley

10%TD Prob
WR · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore23
Consensus+2250
Edge+6.8pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Najee Harris
RB2Healthy

NajeeHarris

10%TD Prob
RB · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore15
Consensus+365
Edge-6.6pp
Tough Path17% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.11x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 6% carry share
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DeAndre Hopkins
RotationalHealthy

DeAndreHopkins

10%TD Prob
WR · Baltimore
BAL logoBAL@IND logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore19
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 22% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 0% carry share
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KeAndre Lambert-Smith
WR3Healthy

KeAndreLambert-Smith

10%TD Prob
WR · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore21
Consensus+1000
Edge+2.7pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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Corey Kiner
RB3Healthy

CoreyKiner

10%TD Prob
RB · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore20
Consensus+800
Edge+1.1pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 11% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 7% carry share
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Isaac Guerendo
RB3Healthy

IsaacGuerendo

10%TD Prob
RB · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore19
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Jordan James
RB3Healthy

JordanJames

10%TD Prob
RB · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore19
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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John Bates
TE2Healthy

JohnBates

10%TD Prob
TE · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore22
Consensus+1750
Edge+5.7pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Efton Chism III
WR2Healthy

EftonChism III

10%TD Prob
WR · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore24
Consensus+4500
Edge+8.1pp
Tough Path2% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 21% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 0% carry share
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Zach Ertz
RotationalHealthy

ZachErtz

10%TD Prob
TE · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore19
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.10x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Mason Tipton
WR3Healthy

MasonTipton

10%TD Prob
WR · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore19
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: DET allow 1.14x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 1% carry share
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DeMario Douglas
WR2Healthy

DeMarioDouglas

10%TD Prob
WR · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore17
Consensus+550
Edge-2.7pp
Tough Path12% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 21% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.12x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Limited usage: Expected 7% target share and 1% carry share
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Arian Smith
WR6Healthy

ArianSmith

10%TD Prob
WR · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore23
Consensus+2800
Edge+7.0pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Grant Calcaterra
TE5Healthy

GrantCalcaterra

10%TD Prob
TE · Philadelphia
PHI logoPHIVSWAS logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore22
Consensus+1850
Edge+5.6pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Defensive matchup: WAS allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.3 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Drew Sample
TE2Healthy

DrewSample

10%TD Prob
TE · Cincinnati
CIN logoCINVSTB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore20
Consensus+1100
Edge+3.3pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 94
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 27.0 points
  • Defensive matchup: TB allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Limited usage: Expected 6% target share and 0% carry share
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Gunner Olszewski
WR3Healthy

GunnerOlszewski

9%TD Prob
WR · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore18
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.17x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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Kendre Miller
RB2Healthy

KendreMiller

9%TD Prob
RB · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore16
Consensus+538
Edge-2.8pp
Tough Path12% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Goal-line role: Only 0.12 expected inside-10 opportunities
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Will Kacmarek
TE2Healthy

WillKacmarek

9%TD Prob
TE · Miami
MIA logoMIA@LV logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore20
Consensus+1200
Edge+3.5pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: LV allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 10)
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Justin Watson
RotationalHealthy

JustinWatson

9%TD Prob
WR · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore18
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 0% carry share
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Devin Neal
RotationalHealthy

DevinNeal

9%TD Prob
RB · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore14
Consensus+400
Edge-6.2pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.10x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 8% carry share
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DJ Giddens
RB3Healthy

DJGiddens

9%TD Prob
RB · Indianapolis
IND logoINDVSBAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore20
Consensus+1300
Edge+3.3pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 7% carry share
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Tahj Brooks
RB3Healthy

TahjBrooks

9%TD Prob
RB · Cincinnati
CIN logoCINVSTB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore21
Consensus+2350
Edge+5.9pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 94
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 27.0 points
  • Defensive matchup: TB allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 6% carry share
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Jeremy Ruckert
TE3Healthy

JeremyRuckert

9%TD Prob
TE · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore20
Consensus+1750
Edge+4.7pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Tai Felton
WR2Healthy

TaiFelton

9%TD Prob
WR · Minnesota
MIN logoMINVSGB logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore20
Consensus+1450
Edge+3.7pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: GB allow 1.15x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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Calvin Ridley
WR3Healthy

CalvinRidley

9%TD Prob
WR · Tennessee
TEN logoTENVSNYJ logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore14
Consensus+438
Edge-5.8pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NYJ allow 1.14x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 19)
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Johnny Mundt
TE2Healthy

JohnnyMundt

9%TD Prob
TE · Philadelphia
PHI logoPHIVSWAS logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore19
Consensus+1100
Edge+2.1pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Defensive matchup: WAS allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.3 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 6% target share and 0% carry share
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Deshaun Watson
QB1Healthy

DeshaunWatson

9%TD Prob
QB · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore16
Consensus+638
Edge-1.5pp
Tough Path10% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: JAX allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Luke McCaffrey
WR1Healthy

LukeMcCaffrey

9%TD Prob
WR · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore19
Consensus+1300
Edge+3.0pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.22x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Devontez Walker
WR4Questionable

DevontezWalker

9%TD Prob
WR · Baltimore
BAL logoBAL@IND logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore17
Consensus+975
Edge+1.0pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.24x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 22% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Injury designation: Listed Questionable; projection discounted for availability
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Ja'Tavion Sanders
TE4Healthy

Ja'TavionSanders

9%TD Prob
TE · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore17
Consensus+950
Edge+0.8pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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Adam Trautman
TE2Healthy

AdamTrautman

8%TD Prob
TE · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore17
Consensus+1025
Edge+1.3pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: KC allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 21)
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Julius Chestnut
RB2Healthy

JuliusChestnut

8%TD Prob
RB · Tennessee
TEN logoTENVSNYJ logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore18
Consensus+1250
Edge+2.6pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NYJ allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 15% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 19)
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Darnell Washington
TE2Healthy

DarnellWashington

8%TD Prob
TE · Pittsburgh
PIT logoPITVSATL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore13
Consensus+513
Edge-5.1pp
Tough Path14% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Limited usage: Expected 8% target share and 0% carry share
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De'Zhaun Stribling
WR3Healthy

De'ZhaunStribling

8%TD Prob
WR · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore12
Consensus+413
Edge-7.3pp
Tough Path16% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Kenyon Sadiq
TE2Healthy

KenyonSadiq

8%TD Prob
TE · NY Jets
NYJ logoNYJ@TEN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore16
Consensus+800
Edge-0.7pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: TEN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 6)
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Nick Chubb
RotationalHealthy

NickChubb

8%TD Prob
RB · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore16
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: BUF allow 1.20x the expected rushing TDs to RBs
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 6% carry share
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Brock Wright
TE2Healthy

BrockWright

8%TD Prob
TE · Detroit
DET logoDETVSNO logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore15
Consensus+750
Edge-0.9pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 97
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.3 points
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.16x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 0% carry share
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Denzel Boston
WR3Healthy

DenzelBoston

8%TD Prob
WR · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore13
Consensus+500
Edge-5.0pp
Tough Path13% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Ashton Dulin
WR1Healthy

AshtonDulin

8%TD Prob
WR · Indianapolis
IND logoINDVSBAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore16
Consensus+975
Edge+0.3pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 24% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the WR depth chart
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 1% carry share
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Isaiah Hodgins
RotationalHealthy

IsaiahHodgins

8%TD Prob
WR · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore18
Consensus+3000
Edge+5.2pp
Tough Path2% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: DAL allow 1.17x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Ray-Ray McCloud
RotationalHealthy

Ray-RayMcCloud

8%TD Prob
WR · Chicago
CHI logoCHI@CAR logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore15
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 79
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.3 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Antonio Williams
WR3Healthy

AntonioWilliams

7%TD Prob
WR · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore14
Consensus+800
Edge-1.1pp
Tough Path9% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Tylan Wallace
WR4Healthy

TylanWallace

7%TD Prob
WR · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore18
Consensus+3300
Edge+5.2pp
Tough Path2% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Noah Brown
RotationalHealthy

NoahBrown

7%TD Prob
WR · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore15
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 13% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Jalen Brooks
WR4Healthy

JalenBrooks

7%TD Prob
WR · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore17
Consensus+2500
Edge+4.2pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 13)
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Jordan Watkins
WR2Healthy

JordanWatkins

7%TD Prob
WR · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore17
Consensus+2400
Edge+4.1pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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Trey Benson
RB5Healthy

TreyBenson

7%TD Prob
RB · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore14
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 13)
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Eli Raridon
TE2Healthy

EliRaridon

7%TD Prob
TE · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore15
Consensus+1300
Edge+1.2pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: SEA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 21% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Sterling Shepard
RotationalHealthy

SterlingShepard

7%TD Prob
WR · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore14
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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Elijah Higgins
TE2Healthy

ElijahHiggins

7%TD Prob
TE · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore14
Consensus+925
Edge-0.7pp
Tough Path8% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: LAC allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 13)
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Hunter Long
TE3Healthy

HunterLong

7%TD Prob
TE · Arizona
ARI logoARI@LAC logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore16
Consensus+2200
Edge+3.5pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: LAC allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.11x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 13)
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Jaret Patterson
RotationalHealthy

JaretPatterson

7%TD Prob
RB · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore16
Consensus+1900
Edge+2.9pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Defensive matchup: ARI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 4% carry share
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Jonathan Mingo
WR3Healthy

JonathanMingo

7%TD Prob
WR · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore16
Consensus+1800
Edge+3.0pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.8 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Jeremy McNichols
RB4Healthy

JeremyMcNichols

7%TD Prob
RB · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore15
Consensus+1500
Edge+1.8pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: PHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 10% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Eric Saubert
TE2Healthy

EricSaubert

7%TD Prob
TE · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore15
Consensus+2200
Edge+3.1pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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Cody White
WR4Healthy

CodyWhite

7%TD Prob
WR · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore14
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.12x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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Nate Boerkircher
TE2Healthy

NateBoerkircher

7%TD Prob
TE · Jacksonville
JAX logoJAXVSCLE logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore13
Consensus+1050
Edge-0.4pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • No usage sample: Role projected from the depth chart only
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Taysom Hill
RotationalHealthy

TaysomHill

6%TD Prob
QB · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore13
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores only 0.86x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
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Lil'Jordan Humphrey
WR6Healthy

Lil'JordanHumphrey

6%TD Prob
WR · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore14
Consensus+1400
Edge+1.0pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 21)
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Tyler Johnson
RotationalHealthy

TylerJohnson

6%TD Prob
WR · Dallas
DAL logoDAL@NYG logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore13
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 90
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.8 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Trevor Etienne
RB4Healthy

TrevorEtienne

6%TD Prob
RB · Carolina
CAR logoCARVSCHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore9
Consensus+665
Edge-5.9pp
Tough Path12% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Limited usage: Expected 0% target share and 6% carry share
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John FitzPatrick
RotationalHealthy

JohnFitzPatrick

6%TD Prob
TE · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore12
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: MIN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 11% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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0
Davis Allen
TE5Healthy

DavisAllen

6%TD Prob
TE · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore12
Consensus+1250
Edge+0.1pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Defensive matchup: SF allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Jared Goff
QB1Healthy

JaredGoff

6%TD Prob
QB · Detroit
DET logoDETVSNO logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore13
Consensus+1600
Edge+1.3pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 97
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.3 points
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Defensive matchup: NO allow only 0.80x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
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Gabe Davis
RotationalHealthy

GabeDavis

6%TD Prob
WR · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore12
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Christian Kirk
WR7Healthy

ChristianKirk

6%TD Prob
WR · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore12
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Sean Tucker
RB2Doubtful

SeanTucker

6%TD Prob
RB · Tampa Bay
TB logoTB@CIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore6
Consensus+400
Edge-9.4pp
Tough Path15% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 28% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Defensive matchup: CIN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.12x the TDs his rushing opportunities predict
  • Injury designation: Listed Doubtful; projection discounted for availability
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Luke Musgrave
TE5Healthy

LukeMusgrave

5%TD Prob
TE · Green Bay
GB logoGB@MIN logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore11
Consensus+1050
Edge-1.2pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: MIN allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 11% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 4% target share and 0% carry share
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Jackson Hawes
TE3Healthy

JacksonHawes

5%TD Prob
TE · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore11
Consensus+1450
Edge+0.2pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.22x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: HOU allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 0% carry share
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Ty Chandler
RB4Healthy

TyChandler

5%TD Prob
RB · New Orleans
NO logoNO@DET logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore11
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 14% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 3% carry share
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Luke Farrell
TE3Healthy

LukeFarrell

5%TD Prob
TE · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore11
Consensus+1300
Edge-0.3pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.15x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Defensive matchup: LA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 0% carry share
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Raheem Mostert
RotationalHealthy

RaheemMostert

5%TD Prob
RB · Las Vegas
LV logoLVVSMIA logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore11
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: MIA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 1% carry share
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Durham Smythe
TE2Healthy

DurhamSmythe

5%TD Prob
TE · Baltimore
BAL logoBAL@IND logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore9
Consensus+1000
Edge-2.4pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 22% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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Matthew Stafford
QB1Healthy

MatthewStafford

5%TD Prob
QB · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore12
Consensus+2200
Edge+1.6pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Depth chart: Listed first on the QB depth chart
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • Defensive matchup: SF allow only 0.80x the expected rushing TDs to QBs
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Antonio Gibson
RotationalHealthy

AntonioGibson

5%TD Prob
RB · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore11
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 11% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 0% target share and 5% carry share
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Tutu Atwell
WR5Healthy

TutuAtwell

5%TD Prob
WR · LA Rams
LA logoLAVSSF logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore9
Consensus+1100
Edge-1.6pp
Tough Path6% no-vig
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 85
  • Defensive matchup: SF allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to WRs
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 25.5 points
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 0% carry share
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Nate Adkins
TE3Healthy

NateAdkins

5%TD Prob
TE · Denver
DEN logoDEN@KC logo
Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
TuddyScore11
Consensus+2000
Edge+1.0pp
Tough Path4% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: KC allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 21)
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Khalil Herbert
RotationalHealthy

KhalilHerbert

5%TD Prob
RB · San Francisco
SF logoSF@LA logo
Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
TuddyScore10
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 3% carry share
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Austin Hooper
TE3Healthy

AustinHooper

5%TD Prob
TE · Atlanta
ATL logoATL@PIT logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore8
Consensus+1100
Edge-2.5pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: PIT allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Finishing efficiency: Scores 1.09x the TDs his target profile predicts
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 3)
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Austin Ekeler
RotationalHealthy

AustinEkeler

4%TD Prob
RB · Washington
WAS logoWAS@PHI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore9
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: PHI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 10% more rushing TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 16)
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Tyrell Shavers
WR6Healthy

TyrellShavers

4%TD Prob
WR · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore9
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Foster Moreau
TE2Healthy

FosterMoreau

4%TD Prob
TE · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore7
Consensus+1025
Edge-2.7pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Trayveon Williams
RotationalHealthy

TrayveonWilliams

4%TD Prob
RB · Detroit
DET logoDETVSNO logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore9
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 97
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.3 points
  • Defensive matchup: NO allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 2% carry share
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Charlie Woerner
TE2Healthy

CharlieWoerner

4%TD Prob
TE · Atlanta
ATL logoATL@PIT logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore10
Consensus+3350
Edge+1.5pp
Tough Path2% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: PIT allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 3)
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Zay Jones
RotationalHealthy

ZayJones

4%TD Prob
WR · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore8
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Cade Stover
TE4Healthy

CadeStover

4%TD Prob
TE · Houston
HOU logoHOUVSBUF logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore7
Consensus+1500
Edge-1.2pp
Tough Path5% no-vig
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 12% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 1% carry share
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Blake Whiteheart
TE2Healthy

BlakeWhiteheart

4%TD Prob
TE · Cleveland
CLE logoCLE@JAX logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore9
Consensus+2800
Edge+0.9pp
Tough Path3% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: JAX allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Game environment: Slow, low-volume game environment (score 0)
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Tanner Conner
RotationalHealthy

TannerConner

4%TD Prob
TE · NY Giants
NYG logoNYGVSDAL logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore8
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Projected role in the team's touchdown pool
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 0% carry share
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Elijah Arroyo
TE3Healthy

ElijahArroyo

3%TD Prob
TE · Seattle
SEA logoSEAVSNE logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore5
Consensus+1100
Edge-3.5pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: NE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Ameer Abdullah
RB4Healthy

AmeerAbdullah

3%TD Prob
RB · Jacksonville
JAX logoJAXVSCLE logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore5
Consensus+1000
Edge-4.0pp
Tough Path7% no-vig
  • Defensive matchup: CLE allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to RBs
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 3% carry share
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Julian Hill
TE5Healthy

JulianHill

3%TD Prob
TE · New England
NE logoNE@SEA logo
Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
TuddyScore7
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Defensive matchup: SEA allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 21% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 1% target share and 0% carry share
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Brandin Cooks
RotationalHealthy

BrandinCooks

3%TD Prob
WR · Buffalo
BUF logoBUF@HOU logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
TuddyScore7
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Team scoring pool: Market implies 17% more receiving TDs than the roster's usage suggests
  • Limited usage: Expected 3% target share and 0% carry share
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Will Dissly
RotationalHealthy

WillDissly

3%TD Prob
TE · LA Chargers
LAC logoLACVSARI logo
Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
TuddyScore6
Consensus—
Edge—
Tough PathNo market price
  • Game environment: Slate-relative game environment score 100
  • Team scoring environment: Implied team total of 28.5 points
  • Defensive matchup: ARI allow 1.20x the expected receiving TDs to TEs
  • Limited usage: Expected 2% target share and 0% carry share
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Nuclear Spots

TuddyScore 85+

The Tuddy Buddy app provides statistical information and probability estimates for research and entertainment. Projections are not guarantees of future performance. Sports wagering involves risk. Not affiliated with the NFL or any team. Team logos and player images are the property of their respective owners and are used for identification only.